Penn State
W-L: (22-14) PR = 98.7140Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1003 A Arizona St (15-22, 97.8) 6- 3 1004 A Arizona St (15-22, 97.8) 4- 2 1009 H Clarkson (18-18, 97.5) 4- 6 1010 H Clarkson (18-18, 97.5) 5- 2 1017 H LIU (11-16, 97.0) 5- 4 1018 H LIU (11-16, 97.0) 3- 0 1024 H Stonehill (10-22, 96.7) 3- 2 1025 H Stonehill (10-22, 96.7) 4- 2 1030 A Ohio State (17-19, 98.7) 3- 2 1031 A Ohio State (17-19, 98.7) 4- 3 1107 A Michigan St (25- 8, 99.7) 1- 2 1108 A Michigan St (25- 8, 99.7) 0- 5 1114 H Michigan (28- 8, 99.9) 1- 7 1115 H Michigan (28- 8, 99.9) 4- 2 1121 A Minnesota (11-24, 97.8) 2- 3 1122 A Minnesota (11-24, 97.8) 2- 1 103 A RIT (17-17, 96.9) 0- 1 104 H RIT (17-17, 96.9) 7- 3 109 H Minnesota (11-24, 97.8) 3- 0 110 H Minnesota (11-24, 97.8) 5- 2 116 H Notre Dame ( 9-25, 97.1) 4- 1 117 H Notre Dame ( 9-25, 97.1) 6- 3 123 A Wisconsin (23-14, 98.7) 7- 2 124 A Wisconsin (23-14, 98.7) 3- 1 130 H Michigan St (25- 8, 99.7) 3- 6 131 H Michigan St (25- 8, 99.7) 4- 5 213 A Michigan (28- 8, 99.9) 4- 4 214 A Michigan (28- 8, 99.9) 3- 6 220 H Ohio State (17-19, 98.7) 1- 4 221 H Ohio State (17-19, 98.7) 5- 4 227 A Notre Dame ( 9-25, 97.1) 3- 3 228 A Notre Dame ( 9-25, 97.1) 3- 4 305 H Wisconsin (23-14, 98.7) 3- 7 306 H Wisconsin (23-14, 98.7) 2- 5 311 H Minnesota (11-24, 97.8) 6- 2 311 H Minnesota (11-24, 97.8) 6- 2 311 H Minnesota (11-24, 97.8) 6- 2 314 A Michigan (28- 8, 99.9) 2- 5
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1003 A Arizona St 6- 3 3 1 + 2.41
1004 A Arizona St 4- 2 2 1 1.41
1009 H Clarkson 4- 6 -2 2 - -3.62
1010 H Clarkson 5- 2 3 2 1.38
1017 H LIU 5- 4 1 2 -1.11
1018 H LIU 3- 0 3 2 0.89
1024 H Stonehill 3- 2 1 2 -1.41
1025 H Stonehill 4- 2 2 2 -0.41
1030 A Ohio State 3- 2 1 0 1.35
1031 A Ohio State 4- 3 1 0 1.35
1107 A Michigan St 1- 2 -1 -1 0.32
1108 A Michigan St 0- 5 -5 -1 - -3.68
1114 H Michigan 1- 7 -6 -1 -- -5.18
1115 H Michigan 4- 2 2 -1 + 2.82
1121 A Minnesota 2- 3 -1 1 -1.60
1122 A Minnesota 2- 1 1 1 0.40
104 H RIT 7- 3 4 2 1.78
109 H Minnesota 3- 0 3 1 1.67
110 H Minnesota 5- 2 3 1 1.67
116 H Notre Dame 4- 1 3 2 1.06
117 H Notre Dame 6- 3 3 2 1.06
123 A Wisconsin 7- 2 5 0 ++ 5.31
124 A Wisconsin 3- 1 2 0 + 2.31
130 H Michigan St 3- 6 -3 -1 - -2.41
131 H Michigan St 4- 5 -1 -1 -0.41
213 A Michigan 4- 4 0 -2 1.55
214 A Michigan 3- 6 -3 -2 -1.45
220 H Ohio State 1- 4 -3 0 - -3.38
221 H Ohio State 5- 4 1 0 0.62
227 A Notre Dame 3- 3 0 1 -1.21
228 A Notre Dame 3- 4 -1 1 - -2.21
305 H Wisconsin 3- 7 -4 0 -- -4.42
306 H Wisconsin 2- 5 -3 0 - -3.42
311 H Minnesota 6- 2 4 1 + 2.67
311 H Minnesota 6- 2 4 1 + 2.67
311 H Minnesota 6- 2 4 1 + 2.67
314 A Michigan 2- 5 -3 -2 -1.45
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1114 H Michigan 1- 7 -6 -1 -- -5.18 305 H Wisconsin 3- 7 -4 0 -- -4.42 1009 H Clarkson 4- 6 -2 2 - -3.62 1108 A Michigan St 0- 5 -5 -1 - -3.68 130 H Michigan St 3- 6 -3 -1 - -2.41 220 H Ohio State 1- 4 -3 0 - -3.38 228 A Notre Dame 3- 4 -1 1 - -2.21 306 H Wisconsin 2- 5 -3 0 - -3.42 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 123 A Wisconsin 7- 2 5 0 ++ 5.31 1003 A Arizona St 6- 3 3 1 + 2.41 1115 H Michigan 4- 2 2 -1 + 2.82 124 A Wisconsin 3- 1 2 0 + 2.31 311 H Minnesota 6- 2 4 1 + 2.67 311 H Minnesota 6- 2 4 1 + 2.67 311 H Minnesota 6- 2 4 1 + 2.67 |
Penn State Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | Penn State | Penn State 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Army | Army | Army 1- 0 vs 3- 1 | ||
| Bentley | Penn State | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Penn State | |
| Canisius | Penn State | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 1) | Penn State | |
| Holy Cross | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 0) | Penn State | |
| Mercyhurst | Penn State | Penn State 2- 2 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Niagara | Penn State | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 1) | Penn State | |
| RIT | Penn State | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Penn State | |
| Rob Morris | Penn State | Penn State 3- 2 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Sacred Heart | Penn State | insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 1) | Penn State | |
| Michigan | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Michigan St | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Minnesota | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Notre Dame | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Ohio State | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | Wisconsin 5- 2 vs 3- 3 | ||
| Augustana | Penn State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Penn State | |
| Bemidji St | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Bowl Green | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0) | Penn State | |
| Ferris St | Penn State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| L Superor | Penn State | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) | Penn State | |
| Mich Tech | Penn State | Penn State 2- 3 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Minn St | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| No Mich | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Penn State | |
| St. Thomas | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Alaska | Penn State | Penn State 3- 1 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Alaska Anch | Penn State | Penn State 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Lindenwood | Penn State | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Penn State | |
| LIU | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Stonehill | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Brown | Penn State | Penn State 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Clarkson | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Colgate | Penn State | Penn State 2- 3 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Cornell | Cornell | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Cornell | |
| Dartmouth | Penn State | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 1) | Penn State | |
| Harvard | Penn State | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 2) | Penn State | |
| Princeton | Penn State | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) | Penn State | |
| Quinnipiac | Quinnipiac | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Quinnipiac | |
| RPI | Penn State | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Penn State | |
| St Lawrence | Penn State | Penn State 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Union | Penn State | Penn State 2- 1 vs 0- 1 | ||
| Yale | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Boston Col | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Penn State | |
| Boston Univ | Penn State | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Penn State | |
| Connecticut | Penn State | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 0) | Penn State | |
| Maine | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| UMass | Penn State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Penn State | |
| Merrimack | Penn State | Penn State 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| New Hamp | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Penn State | |
| Northeastern | Penn State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Penn State | |
| Providence | Providence | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Providence | |
| UMass Lowell | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Vermont | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0) | Penn State | |
| Arizona St | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Colorado Col | Penn State | Penn State 2- 1 vs 0- 0 | ||
| Denver | Denver | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) | Denver | |
| Miami | Penn State | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) | Penn State | |
| Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) | Minn Duluth | |
| North Dakota | North Dakota | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 1) | North Dakota | |
| Omaha | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0) | Penn State | |
| St Cloud St | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0) | Penn State | |
| Western Mich | Western Mich | Western Mich 4- 1 vs 2- 1 |
PowerWise = 51
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 35.94
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Arizona St (15-22, 97.8) 6- 3 -2.14 2.31 0.36 0.95 5.06
0 A Arizona St (15-22, 97.8) 4- 2 -2.14 2.31 0.36 0.95 5.06
0 H Clarkson (18-18, 97.5) 4- 6 -2.44 2.00 -0.36 0.95 -1.33
0 H Clarkson (18-18, 97.5) 5- 2 -2.44 2.00 -0.36 0.95 3.10
0 H LIU (11-16, 97.0) 5- 4 -2.93 1.52 -0.36 0.95 2.18
0 H LIU (11-16, 97.0) 3- 0 -2.93 1.52 -0.36 0.95 2.18
0 H Stonehill (10-22, 96.7) 3- 2 -3.23 1.22 -0.36 0.95 1.62
0 H Stonehill (10-22, 96.7) 4- 2 -3.23 1.22 -0.36 0.95 1.62
0 A Ohio State (17-19, 98.7) 3- 2 -1.20 3.25 0.36 0.95 6.84
0 A Ohio State (17-19, 98.7) 4- 3 -1.20 3.25 0.36 0.95 6.84
0 A Michigan St (25- 8, 99.7) 1- 2 -0.23 4.22 0.36 0.95 -0.06
0 A Michigan St (25- 8, 99.7) 0- 5 -0.23 4.22 0.36 0.95 -0.06
0 H Michigan (28- 8, 99.9) 1- 7 -0.00 4.45 -0.36 0.95 -0.17
0 H Michigan (28- 8, 99.9) 4- 2 -0.00 4.45 -0.36 0.95 7.73
0 A Minnesota (11-24, 97.8) 2- 3 -2.15 2.30 0.36 0.95 -0.84
0 A Minnesota (11-24, 97.8) 2- 1 -2.15 2.30 0.36 0.95 5.04
0 A RIT (17-17, 96.9) 0- 1 -3.04 1.41 0.36 0.95 -1.26
0 H RIT (17-17, 96.9) 7- 3 -3.04 1.41 -0.36 0.95 1.98
0 H Minnesota (11-24, 97.8) 3- 0 -2.15 2.30 -0.36 0.95 3.66
0 H Minnesota (11-24, 97.8) 5- 2 -2.15 2.30 -0.36 0.95 3.66
0 H Notre Dame ( 9-25, 97.1) 4- 1 -2.76 1.69 -0.36 0.95 2.50
0 H Notre Dame ( 9-25, 97.1) 6- 3 -2.76 1.69 -0.36 0.95 2.50
0 A Wisconsin (23-14, 98.7) 7- 2 -1.24 3.21 0.36 0.95 6.75
0 A Wisconsin (23-14, 98.7) 3- 1 -1.24 3.21 0.36 0.95 6.75
0 H Michigan St (25- 8, 99.7) 3- 6 -0.23 4.22 -0.36 0.95 -0.28
0 H Michigan St (25- 8, 99.7) 4- 5 -0.23 4.22 -0.36 0.95 -0.28
0 A Michigan (28- 8, 99.9) 3- 6 -0.00 4.45 0.36 0.95 -0.17
0 H Ohio State (17-19, 98.7) 1- 4 -1.20 3.25 -0.36 0.95 -0.74
0 H Ohio State (17-19, 98.7) 5- 4 -1.20 3.25 -0.36 0.95 5.46
0 A Notre Dame ( 9-25, 97.1) 3- 3 -2.76 1.69 0.36 0.95 ********
0 A Notre Dame ( 9-25, 97.1) 3- 4 -2.76 1.69 0.36 0.95 -1.13
0 H Wisconsin (23-14, 98.7) 3- 7 -1.24 3.21 -0.36 0.95 -0.76
0 H Wisconsin (23-14, 98.7) 2- 5 -1.24 3.21 -0.36 0.95 -0.76
0 H Minnesota (11-24, 97.8) 6- 2 -2.15 2.30 -0.36 0.95 3.66
0 H Minnesota (11-24, 97.8) 6- 2 -2.15 2.30 -0.36 0.95 3.66
0 H Minnesota (11-24, 97.8) 6- 2 -2.15 2.30 -0.36 0.95 3.66
0 A Michigan (28- 8, 99.9) 2- 5 -0.00 4.45 0.36 0.95 -0.17
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winning pts = 91.5114 losing points = -8.0380
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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